Until this moment, the final stretch of the 2022-2023 awards season looked exciting. The discrepancies between the results of big events such as the BAFTAs and the Golden Globes invited us to think of a closing full of surprises at the 95th Oscar delivery ceremony, but the syndicate prizes handed out over the past few weeks have drastically changed the scenery.
If we focus on pure statistics, ‘Everything at once everywhere’ has all the ballots to ring the bell at the Hollywood Academy after winning the jackpot prizes from the producers unions —PGA—, directors —DGA— and actors —SAG—, in which he has triumphed, winning, among others, awards for best film, best direction and best cast respectively.
Yeoh, Quan and… Curtis?
If I imply that the mystery facing the Oscars has ended up being almost completely lost, it is because the close relationship between these and the results of the unions. To better understand it, we’ll start by focusing on the SAGs, whose best cast award is often tied to a near-certain win in the category. best film.
To give a recent example, we can focus our attention on the last awards season, in which ‘The Power of the Dog’ by Jane Campion started as a great favorite after winning the BAFTA, the Golden Globe and the Critics Choice. This was the case until the actors union decided to award the award for best cast to ‘CODA’, which ended up rising with the precious statuette getting rid of its, a priori, better positioned competitors with a stroke of the pen.
Continuing with the SAG, in regards to the interpretative categories we have one of lime and another of sand. Michelle Yeoh’s success for best leading actress suggests that the protagonist of ‘Everything at once everywhere’ will prevail over the almighty Cate Blanchettwhile Ke Huy Quanwhom the union has named best supporting actor, has practically secured the Oscar in the same category after pocketing the Golden Globe.
The crumb in the awards for the best performances of the year will be in the categories of best lead actor and best supporting actress. The first one will present an exciting battle between Austin Butler, Colin Farrell and Brendan Fraser, with the latter having the approval of the union. The second had Angela Basset as her clear favorite for her role in ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’, but Jamie Lee Curtis’ victory at the SAGs has left the statuette up in the airwith a Kerry Condon with a good number of opportunities to get it.
Best direction and best movie, no surprises
Regarding the Oscar for Best Director, if we stick to the DGA’s choice, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert they should reap the statuette for their work in ‘Everything at once everywhere’. Historically, who wins at the union awards does the same at the Academy — only eight DGA winners have failed to pull off the double — so if anyone can pull off the highly unlikely upset, it’s Steven Spielberg.
And what about the best movie? After surprises such as ‘All Quiet Front’ at the BAFTAs and with ‘The Fabelmans’ and ‘The Banshee of Inisherin’ lifting the Golden Globes for drama and comedy respectively, it seemed that the road to the Oscar was going to be very close but after the victories of ‘Everything at once everywhere’ in the DGA and the PGA it is clear that the golden award already has an owner. Of course, be very careful because there is a buzz with the German tape and the timing of his candidacy in the middle of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
While waiting for the scriptwriters union —and the directors of photography, I don’t forget— to make their verdicts public, there is not much room for doubt: ‘Everything at once everywhere’ will end the season occupying the deserved throne as the revolution indie of the year. And in case you still want more predictions, we will shortly publish our complete pool to help you scratch jackpots in the usual cheers.